Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000253 0.000284 0.000316 0.000353 0.000395 0.000440 0.000492
2025-04-06 0.000211 0.000252 0.000299 0.000355 0.000423 0.000500 0.000597
2025-04-13 0.000180 0.000227 0.000283 0.000356 0.000447 0.000557 0.000701
2025-04-20 0.000154 0.000204 0.000267 0.000351 0.000462 0.000603 0.000797
2025-04-27 0.000140 0.000194 0.000264 0.000362 0.000497 0.000677 0.000932
2025-05-04 0.000127 0.000182 0.000257 0.000368 0.000525 0.000741 0.001061
2025-05-11 0.000115 0.000171 0.000251 0.000371 0.000549 0.000802 0.001190
2025-05-18 0.000104 0.000160 0.000241 0.000369 0.000564 0.000850 0.001304
2025-05-25 0.000096 0.000152 0.000237 0.000374 0.000589 0.000914 0.001445
2025-06-01 0.000087 0.000142 0.000228 0.000369 0.000599 0.000957 0.001557
2025-06-08 0.000080 0.000134 0.000221 0.000369 0.000614 0.001007 0.001684
2025-06-15 0.000074 0.000128 0.000216 0.000369 0.000632 0.001062 0.001822
2025-06-22 0.000068 0.000120 0.000208 0.000367 0.000644 0.001111 0.001959
2025-06-29 0.000063 0.000115 0.000205 0.000370 0.000667 0.001180 0.002136
2025-07-06 0.000059 0.000110 0.000200 0.000371 0.000686 0.001244 0.002310
2025-07-13 0.000054 0.000103 0.000193 0.000367 0.000695 0.001290 0.002454
2025-07-20 0.000052 0.000102 0.000194 0.000378 0.000734 0.001393 0.002714
2025-07-27 0.000049 0.000099 0.000193 0.000384 0.000763 0.001480 0.002949
2025-08-03 0.000046 0.000095 0.000191 0.000388 0.000787 0.001561 0.003180
2025-08-10 0.000043 0.000091 0.000185 0.000386 0.000799 0.001618 0.003368
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000088 0.000184 0.000390 0.000826 0.001707 0.003627
2025-08-24 0.000038 0.000084 0.000178 0.000386 0.000834 0.001757 0.003811
2025-08-31 0.000036 0.000080 0.000174 0.000385 0.000849 0.001822 0.004031